BAFT Response to ECB Consultation to Extend T2 Operating Hours

These takeaways are drawn from the following sessions: 

• ‘Beyond Buzzwords: Supporting a Fair and Inclusive Workplace’, featuring Shannon Manders, Editorial Director, GTR (moderator); Leigh Amaro, Head of North America, Swift; Priya Raghavan, Managing Director and Head, US & Canada Financial Institutions, BBVA; James Rausch, Managing Director, Head, Global Transaction Banking, Royal Bank of Canada; and Nick Smit, Head, Financial Institutions Americas, ING
• ‘AI: Leading the Way in the Future of Finance’, featuring Manuela Veloso, Head of AI Research, JPMorgan; and Mike Katergaris, Head of North America Financial Institution Sales, JPMorgan
• ‘Meaningful Collaboration for Enhancing the Client Experience in Supply Chain Finance (SCF)’, featuring Wouter Hazenberg, Managing Director – Head of VCF Supplier Finance North America, Rabobank; and Flav Pop, Director, Financial Partnerships, PrimeRevenue

1. Banks and fintechs are choosing collaboration over competition

The traditional rivalry between established banks and fintech disruptors is giving way to partnerships which leverage each other’s strengths; banks can typically provide deep client relationships and multi-currency funding capabilities, whilst fintechs handle complex supplier onboarding and electronic time drafts.

This shift reflects mounting client expectations for real-time analytics, automated payment execution, and comprehensive supply chain visibility, a demand so large it is impossible to solve alone. The approach is proving commercially successful: joint responses to client RFIs are becoming commonplace, with customers explicitly requesting collaborative solutions that neither party could deliver independently.

2. Geopolitical tensions are accelerating supply chain localisation

Samarium is a rare-earth metal used in military-grade magnets, and its supply is entirely controlled by China. This should serve as an emblem of the wider inefficiencies in the geopolitical ecosystem, where skyrocketing tariffs (from the US and in response) are forcing companies to rethink global dependencies.

The rhetoric around this is largely politicised. Returning to Samarium, the magnets which it produces are critical components in missiles, smart bombs, and fighter jets, making it clear that whoever controls such resources has a large stake in military capabilities and strategy. 

But rethinking has created new opportunities for trade finance providers. The renewable energy sector and the data centre supply chain particularly illustrate this shift. The rapid expansion of the data centre sector has led to streamlined procurement and modular construction, but has also exposed an over-reliance on a small pool of suppliers, contractors, and standardised components. As such, massive data centre projects exceeding two gigawatts require localised supply chains to ensure resilience. Tesla’s ‘Gigafactory Nevada’ battery facilities and in-house lithium refining operations represent the future that many corporates are moving towards.

3. Gender diversity in trade finance remains stubbornly poor despite business benefits

In GTR’s first comprehensive gender diversity survey, 47% of respondents reported women hold just 0-5% of C-suite positions in trade finance organisations; 45% of employees don’t know whether their organisation has gender pay parity policies, suggesting fundamental communication failures around diversity initiatives.

There’s a business case for inclusion which extends beyond the ethical one. McKinsey data shows that companies prioritising diversity achieve a 39% greater likelihood of outperforming peers on profitability. Yet the sector appears to have embraced technological partnerships more readily than workplace inclusion. As the industry transforms through artificial intelligence (AI) and embedded finance, diverse perspectives will become increasingly valuable.

4. Human-AI collaboration is essential, but scale demands AI-to-AI verification

The integration of AI across trade finance operations is moving beyond experimental phases into practical applications. Fintech providers are leading this adoption, using AI to optimise supplier onboarding programmes and enhance real-time analytics capabilities that clients increasingly demand.

Deep-tier supplier finance – extending credit down the supply chain to suppliers’ suppliers – exemplifies AI’s potential impact. While still in its infancy, this approach can unlock significant value by financing entities that might otherwise pay 6-7% interest rates. As AI capabilities mature and processes become increasingly automated, industry leaders predict this will enable financing of entire value chains more efficiently, making supply networks more resilient while reducing overall borrowing costs.

While banks have traditionally focused on data analysis and pattern recognition, AI agents can understand policies, execute rules, and take actions based on business knowledge, and could present a space to watch in the future. This could render the ‘human in the loop’ approach redundant when dealing with systems that can process hundreds of sources: ‘AI checking AI’ could be implemented, with humans performing random spot checks to build trust over time. 

This approach mirrors how we learned to trust GPS navigation systems like Waze. Banks need to develop systematic verification processes where different AI models cross-reference results, and humans validate randomly selected outputs to maintain quality control while leveraging AI’s scale advantages.

Whether agentic AI or otherwise, the competitive consequences of avoiding AI adoption could be fatal, all the while maintaining data security and regulatory compliance.

5. Accounting transparency requirements are unexpectedly boosting market adoption

The introduction of IFRS and FASB disclosure requirements for supplier finance programmes initially sparked industry concern about potential market contraction. Rating agencies like S&P began scrutinising programmes more closely, with blanket rules such as treating anything over 90 days as debt regardless of industry context.

However, the opposite effect has materialised. Increased transparency has actually attracted new corporates to consider supplier finance: the global supply chain finance market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 8.8% from 2022 (the year the new standards took effect) to 2031.

While some programmes with excessive payment terms or disproportionate balance sheet dependency have scaled back, the clearer regulatory framework has provided confidence for new entrants. Industry participants now argue for more nuanced rating agency approaches that consider sector-specific norms, recognising that 30-day terms suit perishable goods like dairy, whilst 360-day terms may be appropriate for capital equipment like wind turbines.